Summary
Violence is an
inherent feature of the trade in illicit drugs, but the violence generated by
Mexico’s
drug
trafficking organizations (DTOs) in recent years has been unprecedented and
remarkably
brutal. The
tactics—including mass killings, the use of torture and dismemberment, and the
phenomena of
car bombs—have led some analysts to speculate whether the violence has been
transformed
into something new, perhaps requiring a different set of policy responses. Most
analysts
estimate there have been at least 60,000 homicides related to organized crime
since 2006.
Some analysts
see evidence that the number of organized crime-style homicides in Mexico may
have reached a
plateau in 2012, while other observers maintain there was a decline in the
number
of killings.
It is widely believed that the steep increase in organized crime-related
homicides
during the
six-year administration of Mexican President Felipe Calderón (2006-2012) is
likely to
trend down far
more slowly than it rose.
Former
President Calderón made an aggressive campaign against the DTOs a key policy of
his
government,
which the DTOs violently resisted. Of the seven most significant DTOs operating
during the
first five years of the Calderón administration, the government successfully
removed
key leaders
from each of the organizations through arrests or by death in arrest efforts.
However,
these efforts
to eliminate drug kingpins sparked change—consolidation or fragmentation,
succession
struggles, and new competition—leading to instability among the groups and
continuing
violence. Between 2006 and 2012, fragments of some of the DTOs formed new
criminal
organizations, while two DTOs became dominant. These two are now polarized
rivals—
the Sinaloa
DTO in the western part of the country and Los Zetas in the east. They remain
the
largest drug
trafficking organizations in Mexico and both have moved aggressively into
Central
America. Many
DTOs and criminal gangs operating in Mexico have diversified into other illegal
activities
such as extortion, kidnapping, and oil theft, and now pose a multi-faceted
organized
criminal
challenge to governance in Mexico.
Similar to the
last Congress, the 113th Congress remains concerned about the
security crisis in
Mexico. The
new government of President Enrique Peña Nieto which took office in December
2012 has
proposed a new security strategy that builds on the programs that the Calderón
government
initiated. These include close U.S.-Mexico security coordination under the
Mérida
Initiative
with police training and judicial reform, and use of the Mexican military to
prosecute
the campaign
against the DTOs in the near term. In his first three months in office,
President Peña
Nieto has
proposed some new approaches—such as establishing a 10,000 strong militarized
police force
or gendarmarie within
a year, revising and expanding crime prevention programs,
and refocusing
the strategy on lowering violent crime such as homicide and kidnapping. But
President Peña
Nieto has also tried to shift the national conversation to a more positive
message
about economic
growth rather than remaining focused on organized crime groups and the
violence and mayhem that they cause.
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